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    等他們老了,死了

    作者: 阮一峰

    日期: 2010年1月27日

    1、

    網上有《許倬云談話錄》的書摘。許倬云回憶蔣經國的那一節,有一段話。

    蔣經國問我:美國的民主制度好處在哪里,壞處在哪里?民主和自由的意義是什么?

    我說:一個水壩,拼命往上筑高,壩堤一決,水一沖擊,誰也受不了。壩降低,水流緩下來,松弛堤后面的壓力,這個是好事情。

    這段話說的,其實就是”大禹治水,改堵為疏“。但是,我以前沒有想到,這可以解釋民主制度的作用。真是非常淺顯、直觀的一個比喻。

    2、

    社會內部產生矛盾的時候,怎么辦?有兩個辦法。第一個辦法是高壓政策,我把你關起來,不讓你說話,看你還鬧不鬧?第二個辦法是疏導政策,我跟你對話,看看能不能解決問題,即使一時無法解決,也讓你心里感覺好受一些,避免雙方直接對抗。

    這兩個辦法,都可以用來保持局勢穩定。但是,從長期來看,第一個辦法----高壓政策----是無效的。因為它并沒有解決矛盾,而只是延緩了矛盾的爆發。你可以試想一下,如果三峽大壩沒有泄洪孔,只是一堵實心的墻,那么結果會怎樣?你真以為你能堵住長江?

    3、

    且慢,再想一下,在長期中,高壓政策真的是無效的嗎?

    不,它是有效的,不僅短期有效,而且長期也有效。因為人不是水,水會越積越多,但人不會,人只會變老變死。所以,如果你把矛盾壓制下去,等到那些家伙老了死了,抗爭不動了,矛盾就自然不存在了!

    因此,如果政府采取高壓政策解決社會矛盾,它就肯定會一直拖下去,拖到你的矛盾和你的肉體,都化為塵埃。

    這也是許多敏感的歷史檔案,一定要到當事人都死光后,才能公布的道理。

    4、

    作家張承志寫過一本小說《心靈史》,描寫了晚清西北回民起義。

    當時,回漢兩族矛盾激烈,先是回人殺漢人。根據《心靈史》,回民首領馬化龍攻占靖遠縣后,該縣23萬漢人不分男女老幼被殺得只剩下五千人;當回民攻占陜西某縣城后,殺光包括出生沒幾天的嬰兒在內所有漢族男子。

    后來,清廷派出左宗棠鎮壓,漢人同樣殘酷地報復了回人。

    除了極少數逃至西安城內和秦嶺深山的近千回民外,幾乎所有的(陜西)回族都被屠殺或被驅趕,使昔日里清真寺遍布的八百里秦川竟無一清真寺幸存(除西安城內外);陜北一些地方本是回民重要的聚居區,但經過起義之后,回族人口已蕩然無存。

    甘肅的回民由于有馬占鱉的投降,可以說是保存回民最多的省份。而過去絲綢古道上的一片片回回村莊,經過”左屠戶“的屠殺也無一幸免,其慘狀由此可見一斑。

    在鎮壓回民起義中,清軍巢殺之惡毒在人類史上也絕無僅有(僅陜西回族就有”十不存一“之說),改變甚至抹殺了回回民族在西北繁茂的人口分布,其傾族驅趕回族人民,專門把劫后余生之回民由原來的關中平原、銀川平原等富庶之地而強制安插在甘肅平涼、靜寧、會寧、定西及寧夏西海固和徑原、隆德等山區貧瘠之處的安置策略,直接影響到了今天西北回族政治、經濟、文化的發展,完全可以說,今天西北回族的貧困就是由于當年清政府民族壓迫的安置政策造成的。(摘自互聯網)

    這些事件發生在19世紀70年代,距今不到150年。可是,如今還有多少人耿耿于懷這種回漢矛盾和殘酷屠殺呢?在漢族和回族內部,大多數人可能都不了解、甚至不知道當年有過這些事件。如此刻骨的仇恨,都能被淡忘和化解,那么還有什么矛盾不能解決呢?

    由此可見,時間是最強大的解決矛盾、淡忘痛苦的武器。

    5、

    歷史能夠經受得起漫長的拖延,但是我們經受不起。要在高壓政策之下生活一輩子,這是何等的痛苦?

    前幾天,在一家五星級酒店的33層餐廳吃單位的年夜飯。我端著自助餐的盤子,站在幕墻玻璃前,看著不遠處黃浦江上黯淡的燈火。冬夜的寒風凜冽,街上沒有多少行人,室內厚厚的地毯上,落滿了輕柔閃爍的背景音樂。我突然非常的傷心,想到一年就這樣過去了,忍受和廝混,未盡的人生也許都是如此,真是情何以堪。

    那一夜,未來在夜風中飄蕩,風中沒有答案。

    最后生成于 2018-7-9 07:41:59

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